There is a 1.11% chance of getting cosmetic item from a commendation chance according to these stats ( proof ). Which means there is a 98,89% chance of not getting a cosmetic item in a commendation chest. The chance of not getting a single cosmetic item in 800 chests equals to 0.9889^260 (raising 0.98…

So basically worst than the odds of winning the grand prize in a rigged carnival game… the ones people generally avoid because we all realize it’s a scam. Sweet.

I think you can’t compare those 2 things. What calculations mean, is that some people ARE BOUND to be unlucky because of the pure randomness of the system. Some will be more unlucky, some will be less. But unlike those carnival games, most will get the rewards. The question is only when. Because ev…

[image] NikKotovski: 270 commendation chests on average Feelsbadman, im over that number.

your math is flawed. it assumes law of averages to be true when binomial distribution is at play in the system. The system is fine.

^ this guy is suspended. tho his message out there 800 commendations chests, and still 5% to not get ANY cosmetics? I thought by 800 commendation you should get ALL cosmetics with 5% to not get one or two. 800 chests is 90 lvl per hero, probably about 1,2k hours played. well i love vermintide, but…

1,2k hours per one cosmetic… [wtf]

@mr_sp1ce @Revy @Avar I failed the numbers guys, I am so sorry. The new data is there.

[image] RAMRODlCUS: your math is flawed. it assumes law of averages to be true when binomial distribution is at play in the system. The system is fine. I love how all the data is there, there are direct links too, but you just making a statement without any prior fact checking. And right ther…

I don’t even get why people are upset about this, one in our group has gotten 2 hats so far and he doesn’t use any of them because they are just hats, he can’t even see them during gameplay. A skin for a weapon is much, much more fun to get. A veteran item is actually useful compared to a hat. I re…

ONCE AGAIN, THE FIX FOR ALL DROP ISSUES IN VT2: just add a small increase in drop % for each time you do not get a drop (cosmetic for commendation, red for chests that can drop reds). For cosmetics, obviously please make it so u cant get duplicates (because WHY WOULD YOU LET THAT HAPPEN …

Cosmetic items vs math

Warhammer: Vermintide 2 Gameplay Feedback

Revy April 23, 2018, 6:10pm 4

Feelsbadman, im over that number.

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Cosmetic items vs math

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